Time and Date in UTZ:

140600

/140600Z-150600ZOCT2024

TYPHOON WARNINGS for East Asian and Western Pacific:

(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

Summary 1:

NONE.

Summary 2:

NONE.

Summary 3:

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 152.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 157.1E, APPROXIMATELY 944 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF IWO TO. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS SUBTROPICAL IN NATURE WITH CONVECTION DISPLACED POLEWARD AND EASTWARD OF THE LLCC. A 132247Z ASCAT METOP-B IMAGE REVEALS 30-35 KNOT WINDS ISOLATED TO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE INCREASINGLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (27-28 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, HIGH (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS WORKING AGAINST THE SYSTEM. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL TRANSITION IS ASSESSED AS LOW AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND QUICKLY BECOME EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER-LEVEL JET. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.

TYPHOON WARNINGS for U.S West to East Pacific:

(WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

Summary 1:

NONE.

Summary 2:

NONE.

Summary 3:

NONE