Tropical Cyclone Advisories and Forecast
Time and Date in UTZ:
080600 /080600Z-090600ZMAR2026TYPHOON WARNINGS for East Asian and Western Pacific:
(180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):Summary 1:
NONE.Summary 2:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 152 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SPORADIC DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. A 080035Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS SHOWS THAT 95W IS PRIMARILY COMPOSED OF TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS TO THE MARIANAS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (15-20 KTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29 C). BOTH THE GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE FORMATION OF 95W. OUT OF THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS, GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE BUT HAS BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.Summary 3:
NONE.TYPHOON WARNINGS for U.S West to East Pacific:
(WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):Summary 1:
NONE.Summary 2:
NONE.Summary 3:
NONETropical Cyclone Forecast Track Guidance and Ensembles
JMA TC FORECAST (for next 24 hrs click: HERE for next 48 hrs click: HERE)
TROPICAL CYCLONE Advisory "if active" Courtesy of: Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Tropical Tidbits, Japan Meteorological Agency, Weathernerds.org and Rosentiel school of marine and atmospheric science







